China’s Anti-Dumping Regime Compressed Q1 Canola Seed Imports 34% Year-Over-Year — Partial Tariff Relief Is in Place, but the Five-Year Duty Leaves Market Recovery Uncertain

Trade data released by the General Administration of Customs China show that Chinese imports of Canadian canola seed fell approximately 34 percent year-over-year in Q1 2026. [Editor note: verify this figure against the primary GACC release before publication.] The decline is a direct consequence of the anti-dumping duty regime that MOFCOM imposed on Canadian canola seed beginning August 14, 2025, initially at a preliminary rate of 75.8 percent — effectively a market closure at that level. The investigation was extended on September 5, 2025, and concluded February 28, 2026, when MOFCOM issued a final determination establishing a 5.9 percent anti-dumping duty to be applied for five years. Combined with China’s pre-existing 9 percent most-favoured-nation duty, Canadian canola seed now enters China at a total tariff rate of 14.9 percent.